Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 360.102994 409.340573 464.349141 530.636814 608.714044 698.197066 809.147244
2025-08-03 279.497326 341.343296 416.784403 516.636979 646.911968 813.331106 1045.638445
2025-08-10 236.841726 302.561565 387.333022 506.624644 673.324005 902.883556 1251.747239
2025-08-17 215.425586 285.775963 380.911415 522.055824 731.595615 1040.376309 1548.112625
2025-08-24 193.832627 265.010619 365.007970 519.944345 761.887380 1139.621529 1805.050530
2025-08-31 174.823942 245.166768 347.235528 511.384217 779.263657 1219.488512 2045.031162
2025-09-07 161.833260 232.367204 337.852763 513.587443 812.770827 1329.659824 2361.272845
2025-09-14 147.898159 216.581941 321.938889 502.793584 822.098190 1398.359645 2614.022113
2025-09-21 137.911925 205.829638 312.603902 501.342762 846.787974 1498.160288 2952.465276
2025-09-28 125.357029 189.867118 293.244678 480.236993 832.414857 1520.305122 3129.079889
2025-10-05 121.711705 187.900497 296.647565 499.399942 896.050425 1708.458507 3733.241598
2025-10-12 118.876497 186.952896 301.553468 521.683602 968.946901 1930.062383 4488.231468
2025-10-19 112.846561 180.285011 296.193410 524.630748 1004.348827 2079.914379 5117.781378
2025-10-26 104.899720 169.721624 283.014539 511.010518 1002.950338 2145.524155 5538.854425
2025-11-02 98.286404 160.980421 272.351936 501.108869 1008.062992 2227.695340 6039.208812
2025-11-09 95.603057 159.009793 273.980636 516.338936 1072.162526 2471.913443 7151.595234
2025-11-16 90.969470 153.140746 267.709622 514.255098 1095.456388 2614.571461 7985.814425
2025-11-23 85.983886 146.269846 258.937528 505.807923 1102.073948 2713.126851 8706.440706
2025-11-30 82.602723 142.156752 255.210520 507.982119 1135.453684 2896.221527 9844.895688
2025-12-07 78.111794 135.644304 246.199428 497.330218 1134.364733 2976.825448 10605.261267
2025-12-14 74.905572 131.393148 241.433459 495.898429 1157.451252 3138.355408 11812.350472
2025-12-21 70.026266 123.607668 228.881388 475.068236 1125.115383 3115.085985 12150.308704
2025-12-28 69.240646 123.801034 232.892851 493.981079 1206.002665 3489.419651 14693.565660